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Bitcoin's DeepSeek-Triggered Selloff Is a Buy the Dip Opportunity, Analysts Say
Overzealous hopes for Trump's crypto actions last week had primed the market for a pullback, but the decline could be already over, said Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick.
Jan 27, 2025, 4:53 p.m.
What to know:
- Geoffrey Kendrick of Standard Chartered said the crypto selloff was driven by overblown expectations for Trump's policies last week and the Nasdaq's correction, arguing the worst for BTC may be over.
- LondonCryptoClub analysts called the decline a knee-jerk reaction framing it as a local low in a broader bull market with strong macro fundamentals.
- Bitcoin was trading below $100,000, down more than 4% over the past 24 hours, while the Nasdaq was lower by 3%, led by 15% decline for Nvidia (NVDA).
Crypto assets saw a panicky decline overnight alongside a Nvidia-led tech stock plunge on DeepSeek's more efficient artificial intelligence model.
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With bitcoin (BTC) at one point sliding from a Sunday high of $105,000 to below $98,000 before bouncing back to its current level just below $100,000, some analysts warned this could be the start of an even deeper pullback.
Among those taking the other side of that trade is Geoffrey Kendrick, global head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank.
"Buy the dip," he said in a Monday morning report.
Kendrick one week ago warned of a potential 10%-20% correction thanks to markets having priced in overzealous expectations of Trump's crypto executive order and strategic reserve. The overnight selloff, he argued, likely took care of much of this.
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While there might be some more pain ahead this week with U.S. big tech companies reporting earnings this week and the Federal Reserve's January meeting results Wednesday, Kendrick took note of the rapid decline in U.S. Treasury yields — the 10-year note yield now nearing 4.5% — as signaling much of the downward move is done.
Despite there not being much near-term price boost from the Trump administration's digital asset actions, the benefits should ripple through the sector over the next weeks and months through boosted institutional asset flows.
LondonCryptoClub analysts hit a similar note, seeing the crypto selloff as a knee-jerk reaction to a headline event.
"The Deepseek FUD [fear, uncertainty, doubt] is a classic shoot first, ask questions later," LondonCryptoClub analysts said. "Flushes like these amidst a still constructive fundamental macro story that typically mark local lows in a bull trend."
"Be careful today as a broad derisking can be very mechanical and indiscriminate," they added. "But this is very much a BTFD [buy the **** dip] market still."
Bitcoin at press time was trading down more than 4% over the past 24 hours at $99,800. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 was lower by 3%, led by 15% decline for Nvidia (NVDA).
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When adjusted for asset market capitalization SOL's relative futures volume looks better, K33 Research noted.
需要了解的:
- Solana's SOL futures began trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) on Monday, with a notional daily volume of $12.3 million and $7.8 million in open interest, significantly lower than the debuts of bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) futures.
- Despite the seemingly lackluster debut, when adjusted to market value, SOL's first-day figures are more in line with BTC's and ETH's, according to K33 Research.
- Despite the bearish market conditions, the launch of CME SOL futures offers new ways for institutions to manage their exposure to the token, said Joshua Lim of FalconX.
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