Polymarket


Opinioni

No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation

If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.

(Ed Lyman/NOAA)

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U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction

In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails the $2 billion traded on Polymarket since January.

MIAMI, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 21: A person wears an 'I Voted' sticker after casting their ballot in a polling station as early voting begins on October 21, 2024, in Miami, Florida. Early voting runs from Oct. 21 through Nov. 3 in Miami-Dade and Broward. People head to the polls to decide, among other races, the next president of the United States. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

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Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections

A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.

Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)

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Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided

Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.

PRESCOTT VALLEY, ARIZONA - OCTOBER 13: U.S. Republican presidential nominee, former President Donald Trump dances during a campaign rally at Findlay Toyota Center on October 13, 2024 in Prescott Valley, Arizona. With leaders of the Border Patrol union in attendance, Trump pledged to hire 10,000 additional border patrol agents if reelected, intensifying his attacks on Democratic opponent Kamala Harris on the issue.  (Photo by Rebecca Noble/Getty Images)

Video

Trump-Themed Tokens Surge, Bitcoin Forecast to Jump After U.S. Elections

Donald Trump-themed PoliFi tokens saw double-digit gains as the Republican presidential candidate's chances of winning the election surged to a two-month high on Polymarket. ETC Group explains why BTC could jump after the U.S. elections and CoinDesk Anchor Christine Lee presents the "Chart of the Day."

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Il vantaggio di Trump su Harris si amplia nel mercato delle previsioni di Polymarket

Le sue probabilità di vincere le elezioni presidenziali negli Stati Uniti hanno raggiunto il livello più alto degli ultimi due mesi.

Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Kamala Harris on Polymarket. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

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Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market

His odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have soared to a more than two-month high.

Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Kamala Harris on Polymarket. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

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L'avance de Trump sur Harris s'élargit sur le marché des prédictions de Polymarket

Ses chances de remporter l’élection présidentielle américaine ont atteint leur plus haut niveau depuis plus de deux mois.

Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Kamala Harris on Polymarket. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

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Lumawak ang Pangunguna ni Trump kay Harris sa Prediction Market ng Polymarket

Ang kanyang posibilidad na manalo sa halalan sa pagkapangulo ng U.S. ay tumaas sa higit sa dalawang buwang mataas.

Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Kamala Harris on Polymarket. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

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A liderança de Trump sobre Harris aumenta no mercado de previsões da Polymarket

Suas chances de vencer a eleição presidencial dos EUA atingiram o maior nível em mais de dois meses.

Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Kamala Harris on Polymarket. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)