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Bitcoin Showing Signs of 'Short-Term Fatigue' Near $50K Ahead of Possible Continuation

Low levels of daily trading volume persist as bitcoin struggles to edge higher while short positions build.

Updated Sep 14, 2021, 1:40 p.m. Published Aug 17, 2021, 6:45 a.m.
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Bitcoin failed to break $50,000 during weekend trading and is beginning to flag signs of profit-taking in the short term.

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The world's largest crypto by market cap is down 2.5% over a 24-hour period and is currently changing hands for around $45,892, CoinDesk data shows.

Still, bitcoin is up 56% in year-to-date returns courtesy of a strong showing by bullish traders throughout the first half of August, when prices rose from $38,000 on Aug. 4 to around $48,190 on Saturday.

"The price has rebounded strongly now, but this upward move is showing some signs of short-term fatigue," said Simon Peters, market analyst at trading platform eToro. "We could see a small retracement down to lower prices before the prevailing trend reasserts itself."

BTCUSD Daily Chart
BTCUSD Daily Chart

Low levels of daily trading volume persist as bitcoin struggles to edge higher while short positions are building, according to Datamish data, pointing toward a return to lower supports near $44,000.

Read more: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Rally Expected to Pause

"Even though the trend has flipped bullish, a pullback is to be expected before continuation," said Marcus Sotiriou, sales trader at U.K.-based digital asset brokerage firm GlobalBlock. "This is because there has been declining volume with an increase in price, as well as a bearish divergence in the RSI indicator on the daily time frame."

Other notable cryptos in the top 20 by market capitalization over a 24-hour period are mixed with polkadot, solana and terra posting the highest gains while ether, XRP and stellar have shed the most over the same period.

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Solana CME Futures Fell Short of BTC and ETH Debuts, but There's a Catch

Solana CME futures first-day activity compared to BTC and ETH debuts. (CME/K33 Research)

When adjusted for asset market capitalization SOL's relative futures volume looks better, K33 Research noted.

What to know:

  • Solana's SOL futures began trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) on Monday, with a notional daily volume of $12.3 million and $7.8 million in open interest, significantly lower than the debuts of bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) futures.
  • Despite the seemingly lackluster debut, when adjusted to market value, SOL's first-day figures are more in line with BTC's and ETH's, according to K33 Research.
  • Despite the bearish market conditions, the launch of CME SOL futures offers new ways for institutions to manage their exposure to the token, said Joshua Lim of FalconX.