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Bitcoin Could Fall Back to Mid-$20K Area: Chris Burniske

The former crypto lead at Cathie Wood's Ark Invest remains bullish over the longer term.

Updated Mar 8, 2024, 8:33 p.m. Published Jan 26, 2024, 4:46 p.m.
Chris Burniske (CoinDesk)
Chris Burniske (CoinDesk)

The local bottom for bitcoin {{BTC}} has yet to be hit, said Chris Burniske, partner at venture capital firm Placeholder and former crypto lead at Ark Invest.

He sees the price dropping to at least the $30,000-$36,000 range and wouldn't be surprised if the mid-high $20,000 area were tested prior to an eventual move towards a new all-time high.

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"As always, patience is your friend," said Burniske. "The path to get there will be volatile – expect fakeouts – and will take months to play out."

While the long-term trend "remains robust," he added, "we also just saw many of our first parabolas of the cycle, and they're now breaking. Macro looks precarious on a number of levels. New product innovations are close, but not quite there yet ... things still feel insular."

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Prior to a 5% rally on Friday, bitcoin had tumbled nearly 20% to under $40,000 following the Jan. 11 opening for trade of the spot bitcoin ETFs. The price stood at $41,700 at press time.

"Never said I'm majorly de-risking, more just counting my bullets and sharpening my blade," concluded Burniske.

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Solana CME Futures Fell Short of BTC and ETH Debuts, but There's a Catch

Solana CME futures first-day activity compared to BTC and ETH debuts. (CME/K33 Research)

When adjusted for asset market capitalization SOL's relative futures volume looks better, K33 Research noted.

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  • Solana's SOL futures began trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) on Monday, with a notional daily volume of $12.3 million and $7.8 million in open interest, significantly lower than the debuts of bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) futures.
  • Despite the seemingly lackluster debut, when adjusted to market value, SOL's first-day figures are more in line with BTC's and ETH's, according to K33 Research.
  • Despite the bearish market conditions, the launch of CME SOL futures offers new ways for institutions to manage their exposure to the token, said Joshua Lim of FalconX.