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S&P 500 Enters Correction Territory, What Does This Mean for Bitcoin?

Historical analysis on S&P 500 and bitcoin corrections.

S&P 500 Previous Corrections (TradingView)
S&P 500 Previous Corrections (TradingView)

Lo que debes saber:

  • The S&P 500 has entered correction territory, down 10% from its all-time high, with past 20% corrections occurring in 2009, 2019, 2020, and 2022.
  • Bitcoin has fallen 30% from its peak, a typical pattern in past bull market corrections, including the most recent one in August 2024 during the yen carry trade unwind.

The S&P 500 has now entered correction territory, defined as a 10% decline from its all-time high. A further 10% drop would signal a bear market. But is it time to panic? Since Bitcoin’s creation in 2009, the S&P 500 has experienced multiple 20% corrections.

Following the 2008 global financial crisis the index had plunged nearly 60%. In 2019, amid bitcoin’s bear market, the S&P 500 declined by 20%, bitcoin fell as much as 85% from its all-time high. The covid-19 crash in March 2020 saw the index drop almost 40% with bitcoin shedding 60% of its value. Most recently in 2022, the index corrected by 25%, bitcoin bottomed out one month later after dropping by a further 25% to a cycle low of $15,000.

Historically, 10% corrections in the S&P 500 have been common. Meanwhile, bitcoin has dropped 30% from its all-time high during this correction. Looking at past bull market corrections, such declines are a normal occurrence, with the most recent 30% correction happening in August 2024 during the yen carry trade unwind.

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BTC: Bull market correction Drawdowns (Glassnode)
BTC: Bull market correction Drawdowns (Glassnode)

James Van Straten

James Van Straten is a Senior Analyst at CoinDesk, specializing in Bitcoin and its interplay with the macroeconomic environment. Previously, James worked as a Research Analyst at Saidler & Co., a Swiss hedge fund, where he developed expertise in on-chain analytics. His work focuses on monitoring flows to analyze Bitcoin's role within the broader financial system.

In addition to his professional endeavors, James serves as an advisor to Coinsilium, a UK publicly traded company, where he provides guidance on their Bitcoin treasury strategy. He also holds investments in Bitcoin and Strategy (MSTR).

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