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Bitcoin Bulls Eye $75K and Higher as BTC Registers Three-Week Winning Streak

BTC has registered its first three-week winning trend since February.

Автор Omkar Godbole|Редактор Parikshit Mishra
Обновлено 30 сент. 2024 г., 5:36 a.m. Опубликовано 30 сент. 2024 г., 5:33 a.m. Переведено ИИ
Bull Market (Kameleon007/Getty Images)
Bull Market (Kameleon007/Getty Images)
  • BTC has registered its first three-week winning trend since February.
  • Dealers have seen massive call buying activity at the $75,000 strike price and beyond and put selling, according to Amberdata.

Bitcoin has notched its first three-week winning streak since February, according to data source TradingView. The upswing has been characterized by traders buying call options, offering an asymmetric upside potential above $75,000.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value rose over 3% in the seven days to Sept. 29, extending over 7% price increases that occurred in each of the previous two weeks. China's large stimulus announcement and inflows into the U.S.-listed spot ETFs, equivalent to more than a month's supply of newly mined BTC, likely helped the cryptocurrency maintain the upward trajectory.

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As prices rose, dealers saw massive call buying activity at the $75,000 strike price and beyond on crypto exchange Deribit, according to order flow tracked by Amberdata. Investors also sold put options.

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"This flow pattern suggests a bullish outlook for spot prices (due to the put selling) while also anticipating an acceleration in price movement," Amberdata's Director of Derivatives, Greg Magadini, said in a note shared with CoinDesk.

A call option gives the holder the right but not the obligation to purchase the underlying asset, BTC, at a predetermined price at a later date. A call buyer is implicitly bullish on the market, while a put buyer is bearish, looking to hedge against price swoons.

The bullish flow of increased call buying and put selling suggests expectations that prices will soon break out of a six-month-long corrective trend, referred to as the "expanding triangle" by veteran analyst Peter Brandt.

A potential break out would mean the broader uptrend from October 2023 lows under $30,000 has resumed.

"A break above $75K could lead to a swift rally through all-time highs toward $100K, where the last tranche of call buyer activity is concentrated in the December 27, 2024, expiration," Magadini said.

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Solana CME futures first-day activity compared to BTC and ETH debuts. (CME/K33 Research)

When adjusted for asset market capitalization SOL's relative futures volume looks better, K33 Research noted.

Що варто знати:

  • Solana's SOL futures began trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) on Monday, with a notional daily volume of $12.3 million and $7.8 million in open interest, significantly lower than the debuts of bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) futures.
  • Despite the seemingly lackluster debut, when adjusted to market value, SOL's first-day figures are more in line with BTC's and ETH's, according to K33 Research.
  • Despite the bearish market conditions, the launch of CME SOL futures offers new ways for institutions to manage their exposure to the token, said Joshua Lim of FalconX.