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Vibe Check: Coiling the Spring: CoinDesk Indices' Todd Groth
Periodic observations and market musings from Todd Groth, Head of Research, CoinDesk Indices
Updated Mar 8, 2024, 9:10 p.m. Published Feb 7, 2024, 2:04 p.m.
Coiling the Spring
We’ve regained 1650 levels on the CoinDesk 20 Index, as the digital asset market settles into familiar levels pre-bitcoin spot ETF launch and we’ve re-established a significant uptrend in the Bitcoin Trend Indicator (BTI). The indicator is an online tool, created by CoinDesk subsidiary CoinDesk Indices, to help investors determine where the price of bitcoin is going.
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The market has also been shrugging off the recent move higher in U.S. interest rates, from last Friday’s January blowout jobs report (+353k vs +170k expected) and Jerome Powell’s 60 Minutes interview over the weekend.
“We're making good progress. The job is not done” said Powell on inflation, causing rates to shoot back upwards towards 4.1% on the U.S. 10-yr (from 3.9% days prior).
Another area where we’re making good progress but the job is not done? The CoinDesk 20, as we move upwards towards retesting the 1800 level and form a bullish pennant.
Need more color on what's happening in the markets? Check out these stories:
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- BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Inflows Climb to Fifth-Highest Among All ETFs in 2024: Fidelity's spot ETF also garnered a ranking in the top 10 of fund inflows so far this year.
- Bitcoin Miner Selling Ahead of Halving Is Capping Prices: Bitfinex: Miner reserves saw continued net outflows since bitcoin ETF debut, falling to their lowest level since June 2021.
- SEC Delays Another Ether ETF Application: A decision for approving or denying a joint Ether ETF product has been pushed back, in line with analyst expectations.
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Solana CME Futures Fell Short of BTC and ETH Debuts, but There's a Catch
When adjusted for asset market capitalization SOL's relative futures volume looks better, K33 Research noted.
What to know:
- Solana's SOL futures began trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) on Monday, with a notional daily volume of $12.3 million and $7.8 million in open interest, significantly lower than the debuts of bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) futures.
- Despite the seemingly lackluster debut, when adjusted to market value, SOL's first-day figures are more in line with BTC's and ETH's, according to K33 Research.
- Despite the bearish market conditions, the launch of CME SOL futures offers new ways for institutions to manage their exposure to the token, said Joshua Lim of FalconX.
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