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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Rallies Near $58K, Stocks Soar to Record Highs

And yet, bitcoin’s trading volume shows no signs of returning to previous high levels.

Updated Sep 14, 2021, 12:25 p.m. Published Mar 11, 2021, 9:31 p.m.
CoinDesk's Bitcoin Price Index
CoinDesk's Bitcoin Price Index
  • Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $57,572.97 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Climbing 2.11% over the previous 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $54,323.61-$57,632.81 (CoinDesk 20)
  • BTC trades above its 10-hour and 50-hour averages on the hourly chart, a bullish signal for market technicians.
bitcoin trading on Coinbase
bitcoin trading on Coinbase

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
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The bitcoin market is back in bull mode but for one key attribute, almost like a missing tooth: low trading volume.

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Bitcoin’s price on Thursday extended its winning streak to a seventh day as a renewed appetite for risk-taking in traditional markets sent U.S. stocks to new record highs. The catalyst was a U.S. government report on Wednesday showing a slower-than-expected inflation rate in February, which assuaged investors’ concerns that fast-rising consumer demand might send prices shooting higher as the economy reheats.

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“Risk sentiment in global markets has been very upbeat in the aftermath of yesterday's U.S. inflation data,” Joel Kruger, cryptocurrency strategist at LMAX Digital, told CoinDesk. “This has helped to offer additional support to the bitcoin market.”

screen-shot-2021-03-11-at-13-17-52

The one giant asterisk is that spot-market activity has remained muted amid the latest rally, with trading volume on eight major spot crypto exchanges CoinDesk tracks staying relatively flat for more than two weeks.

“There aren't as many sellers right now after the price was very supported in late February down into the $44,000 area,” Kruger said. “You continue to have buyers, though the buying just hasn't been as heavy. Overall, that creates upwards pressure.”

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Kruger warned that investors should stay cautious in the short term before the Federal Reserve’s meeting next week, when U.S. central bank officials led by Chair Jerome Powell are expected to clarify their latest thinking on monetary policy.

Read more: WisdomTree Files for a Bitcoin ETF

The largest cryptocurrency has been cast by digital-market analysts as both an inflation hedge and a risky asset, but over the past week the price has just kept going up, seemingly indifferent to the swings witnessed on Wall Street.

“I think bitcoin is going to be sensitive to periods of downturn in stocks right now because it is still a maturing asset and therefore an emerging asset,” Kruger said. “This gives it properties at the moment that are still very much risk correlated.”

Ether almost flat; bitcoin-ether correlation weakens

bitcoin_and_ether_60-day_correlation

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was up on Thursday, trading around $1,812.13 and climbing 0.26% in 24 hours as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).

The correlation between bitcoin and ether is trending downward again after rising for about two weeks starting Feb. 21. Compared with the same time period a year ago, the correlation between the No. 1 and No. 2 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization is slightly weaker, dropping to about 0.74 from 0.94.

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Read more: ‘Keanu’ Explained: What It Means to Merge Two Ethereum Projects

Yves Renno, head of trading at crypto payment platform Wirex, pointed out that although bitcoin’s share of the overall cryptocurrency markets has climbed over the past couple days, its market dominance currently stands at just 62.3%, down from a recent high around 72% in January.

“Altcoin traders are taking profits and institution cash is still flowing mainly into bitcoin,” Renno said.

Bitcoin dominance by market cap
Bitcoin dominance by market cap

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mixed Thursday. Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

Notable losers:

Equities:

  • Asia’s Nikkei 225 closed in the green 0.60%.
  • The FTSE 100 in Europe closed up 0.17%.
  • The S&P 500 in the United States ended higher by 1.04%.

Commodities:

  • Oil was up 2.53%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $66.07.
  • Gold was in the red 1.54% and at $1,724.93 as of press time.
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Treasurys:

  • The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield climbed Thursday and was in the green 1.522%.
The CoinDesk 20: The Assets That Matter Most to the Market
The CoinDesk 20: The Assets That Matter Most to the Market

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Solana CME Futures Fell Short of BTC and ETH Debuts, but There's a Catch

Solana CME futures first-day activity compared to BTC and ETH debuts. (CME/K33 Research)

When adjusted for asset market capitalization SOL's relative futures volume looks better, K33 Research noted.

What to know:

  • Solana's SOL futures began trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) on Monday, with a notional daily volume of $12.3 million and $7.8 million in open interest, significantly lower than the debuts of bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) futures.
  • Despite the seemingly lackluster debut, when adjusted to market value, SOL's first-day figures are more in line with BTC's and ETH's, according to K33 Research.
  • Despite the bearish market conditions, the launch of CME SOL futures offers new ways for institutions to manage their exposure to the token, said Joshua Lim of FalconX.