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Bitcoin Approaching Resistance at $48K-$51K, Support at $45K

BTC appears to be overbought, although pullbacks cold be brief.

Updated May 11, 2023, 6:15 p.m. Published Mar 29, 2022, 5:50 p.m.
Bitcoin daily price chart shows nearby resistance and RSI on bottom (Damanick Dantes/CoinDesk, TradingView)
Bitcoin daily price chart shows nearby resistance and RSI on bottom (Damanick Dantes/CoinDesk, TradingView)

Bitcoin (BTC) is testing resistance at the 200-day moving average, which could trigger a brief pullback.

The cryptocurrency was trading at about $47,300 at press time and is roughly flat over the past 24 hours.

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Upside momentum is starting to fade on intraday charts, which could keep buyers on the sidelines into the Asia trading day. Still, lower support at around $45,000 could stabilize pullbacks.

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The relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart is overbought for the first time in five months, which means sellers could return at the $48,000-$51,000 resistance zone – a 50% reversal of the prior downtrend.

Further, BTC is two days away from registering a countertrend sell signal, according the DeMark indicators, similar to what occurred last August. At that stage, short-term buyers will likely defend support, especially because momentum signals turned positive on the weekly chart.

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Solana CME futures first-day activity compared to BTC and ETH debuts. (CME/K33 Research)

When adjusted for asset market capitalization SOL's relative futures volume looks better, K33 Research noted.

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  • Solana's SOL futures began trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) on Monday, with a notional daily volume of $12.3 million and $7.8 million in open interest, significantly lower than the debuts of bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) futures.
  • Despite the seemingly lackluster debut, when adjusted to market value, SOL's first-day figures are more in line with BTC's and ETH's, according to K33 Research.
  • Despite the bearish market conditions, the launch of CME SOL futures offers new ways for institutions to manage their exposure to the token, said Joshua Lim of FalconX.