Prediction Markets


Marchés

Las probabilidades de victoria de Trump alcanzan su máximo histórico en Polymarket tras el tiroteo

El expresidente, que resultó herido en un Rally en Pensilvania el sábado, ahora tiene un 70% de posibilidades de recuperar la Casa Blanca, según los operadores del mercado de predicciones basado en criptomonedas. Los tokens Polifi con temática de Trump y las Cripto en general también subieron.

BUTLER, PENNSYLVANIA - JULY 13: Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump pumps his fist as he is rushed offstage by U.S. Secret Service agents after being grazed by a bullet during a rally on July 13, 2024 in Butler, Pennsylvania. Butler County district attorney Richard Goldinger said the shooter is dead after injuring former U.S. President Donald Trump, killing one audience member and injuring another in the shooting. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

Marchés

Las posibilidades de que el senador JD Vance, partidario de las criptomonedas, sea elegido vicepresidente de Trump se duplican en Polymarket

Los comerciantes del mercado de predicciones basado en criptomonedas ahora ven un 29% de posibilidades de que el republicano de Ohio sea el compañero de fórmula del expresidente Trump, frente al 14% de hace una semana.

Sen. JD Vance, right, with former U.S. President Donald Trump (Drew Angerer/Getty images)

Analyse de Nouvelles

Los Mercados de predicciones y las encuestas se equivocaron en las elecciones francesas

Además: Los traders de Polymarket siguen escépticos sobre la insistencia de Biden en permanecer en la carrera presidencial de Estados Unidos; ¿ ETH caerá a $ 2,630?

PARIS, FRANCE - JULY 07: People are seen celebrating on the statue of Marianne on the Place de la Republique to celebrate after the Nouveau Front Populaire, an alliance of left wing parties including the far-left wing party, La France Insoumise came in first on July 07, 2024 in Paris, France. The National Rally party was expected to have a strong showing in the second round of France's legislative election, which was called by the French president last month after his party performed poorly in the European election, but first projections have shown an unexpected lead for French left wing alliance New Popular Front. (Photo by Remon Haazen/Getty Images)

Marchés

Las posibilidades de Biden de ganar Polymarket cambiaron poco después de la entrevista en ABC TV

Las posibilidades de reelección del presidente languidecieron en el 11% y su probabilidad de abandonar rondaba el 64%, según los operadores de la plataforma de mercado de predicciones basada en criptomonedas.

MADISON, WISONSIN - JULY 05: (EDITOR’S NOTE: This Handout image was provided by a third-party organization and may not adhere to Getty Images’ editorial policy.) In this handout photo provided by ABC, U.S. President Joe Biden speaks with 'This Week' anchor George Stephanopoulos on July 05, 2024 in Madison, Wisconsin. The president sat down with Stephanopoulos while on the campaign trail in Wisconsin, a few days after a debate with former President Donald Trump. (Photo by ABC via Getty Images)

Marchés

Las posibilidades de Kamala Harris de ganar la nominación demócrata aumentan en Polymarket

Los partidarios están pidiendo al vicepresidente que dé un paso adelante tras la vacilante debacle del debate del jefe Biden.

COLLEGE PARK, MARYLAND - JUNE 24: U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris delivers remarks on reproductive rights at Ritchie Coliseum on the campus of the University of Maryland on June 24, 2024 in College Park, Maryland. Harris is speaking on the two year anniversary of the Dobbs decision, the Supreme Court ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade and struck down federal abortion protections. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Analyse de Nouvelles

ACTUALIZACIÓN: Polymarket registra su primer mes de 100 millones de dólares mientras el drama electoral se intensifica

Los errores del presidente Biden durante el debate de la semana pasada son el último factor que impulsa el volumen en el mercado de predicciones basado en criptomonedas.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - JUNE 27: U.S. President Joe Biden participates in the CNN Presidential Debate at the CNN Studios on June 27, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia. President Biden and Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump are facing off in the first presidential debate of the 2024 campaign. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Marchés

ACTUALIZACIÓN: Polymarket afirma que es "concluyente" que Barron Trump estuvo involucrado en $DJT

Casi todos los poseedores de tokens UMA votaron que el hijo de Donald Trump, Barron, probablemente no estuviera involucrado en la moneda meme DJT. Polymarket afirma que UMA se equivocó.

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan (Polymarket)

Analyse de Nouvelles

Biden probablemente WIN el voto popular, pero pierda la presidencia, según las señales del mercado

Más: Los creyentes de DJT disputan la resolución de una apuesta de Polymarket, insistiendo en que la "preponderancia de la evidencia" muestra la participación de Barron Trump.

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - JANUARY 09: U.S. President Joe Biden looks on during a welcome ceremony as part of the '2023 North American Leaders' Summit at Palacio Nacional on January 09, 2023 in Mexico City, Mexico. President Lopez Obrador, USA President Joe Biden and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau gather in Mexico from January 9 to 11 as part of the 10th North American Leaders' Summit. The agenda includes topics on the climate change, immigration, trade and economic integration, security among others. (Photo by Hector Vivas/Getty Images)